WASHINGTON — We told you it’s never easy being the frontrunner.
Now less than three weeks before the first Democratic presidential debates, Joe Biden is taking flak from all directions.
It’s coming from the rest of the Democratic field for his continued support of the Hyde Amendment, which bans federal funds for abortion services except in the cases of rape, incest or to save the life of the mother.
- “It’s been the law for a while, and it’s been wrong for a long time,” Elizabeth Warren said at an MSNBC town hall last night. “Because it really is. It’s just discrimination.”
- “I think the Hyde Amendment is wrong,” Cory Booker told NBC’s Leigh Ann Caldwell.
- “No matter your income or where you live, every woman should have access to health care including abortion,” Beto O’Rourke tweeted.
- “No woman’s access to reproductive health care should be based on how much money she has. We must repeal the Hyde Amendment,” Kamala Harris added.
And it’s coming from the political class over the Biden campaign sloppily rolling out a climate plan – and admitting it forgot to give proper attribution.
Here’s the thing: In the grand scheme of the 2020 campaign, these transgressions by Biden are pretty minor.
Plenty of campaigns have taken material — without attribution — to put on their websites and policy proposals.
And plenty of Biden’s rivals, including Warren, Booker, O’Rourke and Harris, have voted for legislation that contains the Hyde Amendment, as Politico notes.
Yet no matter the size of the transgressions, this Democratic pile-on is a recognition that the entire Dem field is itching for a fight with Biden.
So being on that debate stage with Biden matters.
The nine Dems who — by luck of the draw — get to share the debate stage with Biden will have an opportunity the other 10 contenders won’t get.
Data Download: The number of the day is … 58 percent
That’s the share of Americans who oppose changing the current federal government policy that prohibits Medicaid funds from being used to pay for abortions, per a Politico-Harvard poll in October 2016.
That puts the majority of the electorate in agreement with Joe Biden, who has taken heat since yesterday for his continued support of the Hyde Amendment.
The reason for that pressure? His stance is also the minority position in his own party, with 55 percent of Democrats in the same survey saying that the current policy of disallowing Medicaid funds for abortion should be overturned.
Just 37 percent of Democrats say the status quo should stay in place.
Pelosi: No on impeachment, yes on prison
Politico has House Speaker Nancy Pelosi saying this in a closed-door meeting with fellow Democrats pushing for impeachment:
“I don’t want to see [Trump] impeached, I want to see him in prison,” she said, according to multiple Dem sources familiar with the meeting.
NBC News hasn’t confirmed Pelosi said these words.
More: Ashley Etienne, a Pelosi spokeswoman, said Speaker Pelosi and the chairmen “had a productive meeting about the state of play with the Mueller report. They agreed to keep all options on the table and continue to move forward with an aggressive hearing and legislative strategy.”
Two points here: One, if you believe the Trump has committed crimes, you have to sell that message to an American public outside of the Democratic base.
And two, if your play is to let the 2020 presidential election decide Trump’s fate, you have to realize that there’s a solid chance (50-50? 40-60? 60-40?) that he wins re-election.
Remember, a presidential incumbent gets to focus on the general election for four years. The ultimate Dem challenger will get three to four months.
Deal or no deal?
NBC’s Kristen Welker, Kayla Tausche and Lauren Egan have a Trump administration official doubting that the White House and Mexico will strike a deal on tariffs before Monday’s deadline – when Trump has threatened to impose a 5 percent tariff on all Mexican imports.
“According to another senior administration official, in order for a deal to be made, the White House is asking Mexico to hold Central American asylum seekers in a ‘safe third country’ designation, rather than letting them cross the US border.”
“Additionally, the White House is also asking Mexico to accept the ‘Migration Protection Protocols,’ which require migrants to remain in Mexico until their cases are processed.”
“The administration official was skeptical that a deal could be struck before the Monday deadline, noting that it was likely tariffs would go into effect.”
2020 Vision: Georgia on my mind
Today’s 2020 campaign activity is in Atlanta, where a handful of candidates will be addressing an African-American leadership summit and a DNC gala.
And NBC’s Garrett Haake and Josh Lederman report that Pete Buttigieg and Beto O’Rourke will meet privately with Stacey Abrams while in Georgia.
On the campaign trail today: Cory Booker and Pete Buttigieg address an African-American Leadership Summit in Atlanta… Also in Atlanta, Joe Biden, Beto O’Rourke and Stacey Abrams address a DNC IWILLVOTE gala… And Buttigieg hits a fundraiser in Atlanta.
Tweet of the day
The Lid: Boomer Bust?
Don’t miss the pod from yesterday, when we looked at the decline of the Baby Boomers as a share of the electorate.
ICYMI: News clips you shouldn’t miss
Here are Alex Seitz-Wald and Ali Vitali on Elizabeth Warren’s MSNBC town hall last night.
Why exactly did the president fly hundreds of miles out of his way to stay at his own golf course in Ireland?
Trump plans to speak at the Lincoln Memorial on July 4, disrupting an event long celebrated as apolitical.
Truckers remember a lot of promises from Trump, but some say he hasn’t delivered.
Trump agenda: Ireland has a border wall?
Trump said in Ireland that “your wall, your border” will “work out very well” post-Brexit.
In an audio recording obtained by the Washington Post, Mike Pompeo said that keeping the opposition in Venezuela united has proved “devilishly difficult.”
Trump is facing ire from both parties over the administration’s arms sales to Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
The Washington Post looks at how a watchdog airbrushed major problems out of FEMA reviews.
The Trump administration is dramatically cutting federal spending on medical research that uses tissue from fetuses that had been aborted.
Mitch McConnell says that the Senate will “probably not” vote on Democrats’ Dreamer bill.
2020: 32 years later…
The consequences of Biden’s old 1987 plagiarism scandal are continuing to resonate more than 30 years later.
Politico finds that plenty of 2020 candidates have uncited material on their websites.
Jay Inslee isn’t happy with what he says is the DNC’s rejection of his request for a debate entirely on climate change.
Elizabeth Warren’s presidential campaign is unionizing.
Amy Klobuchar nabbed an Iowa endorsement for her mental health policy work.
And NBC’s Vaughn Hillyard reports that Steve Bullock released his first new policy proposal as a presidential candidate. Bullock told MSNBC’s Ari Melber that he would require political non-profits and Super PACs to certify that they will not use foreign donations to aid in election efforts in the United States.
General election poll shock: Brexiteer reveals ‘alarming possibility’ in YouGov study
BREXITEER Steve Baker has urged Britons to deliver a majority Conservative Government – while acknowledging his alarm at the latest YouGov poll indicating Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn within touching distance of Number 10.
Election 2019: Can you take your dog to vote at the polling station?
Barr puts Attorney General stamp of approval on Trump’s 2016 revisionist history
WASHINGTON — Want another example of how Attorney General William Barr has provided fodder for those who say he’s acted more like the president’s personal attorney than the nation’s chief law-enforcement official?
Here’s Barr’s interview with NBC’s Pete Williams, in which Barr calls the Trump campaign’s links to Russia in 2016 a “completely bogus narrative that was largely fanned and hyped by an irresponsible press.”
So what was happening in the final months of the 2016 election?
- June 9: Donald Trump Jr., Paul Manafort and Jared Kushner meet with a Kremlin-connected lawyer after Donald Trump Jr. was told that the Russian government had dirt on Hillary Clinton:”If it’s what you say, I love it,” Trump Jr. writes about the promise of dirt on Clinton.
- July 27: Candidate Trump himself asks Russia for assistance in the 2016 election: “If you’re listening, I hope you’re able to find the 30,000 emails that are missing.” (On that same day, Russian intelligence – for the first time — tries to gain access to Hillary Clinton’s emails/server, per Robert Mueller’s indictments on July 13, 2018.)
- Aug. 15: A Trump campaign associate – Roger Stone – communicates with Russian intelligence: “On or about August 15, 2016, the Conspirators, posing as Guccifer 2.0, wrote to a person who was in regular contact with senior members of the presidential campaign of Donald J. Trump, ‘thank u for writing back … do u find anyt[h]ing interesting in the docs I posted,’” per Mueller’s indictments on July 13, 2018.
- Aug. 21: Stone appears to have advance notice of the WikiLeaks releases of John Podesta’s emails before they first came out on Oct. 7, 2016: “It will soon [be] the Podesta’s time in the barrel,” Stone tweets.
- Oct. 7: The Department of Homeland Security and the Director of National Intelligence release a statement directly saying that Russia is interfering in the 2016 election. On the same day, WikiLeaks – identified in that statement as a Russian intelligence front – begins releasing John Podesta’s emails on a daily basis through the end of campaign.
- Fall of 2016: Donald Trump Jr. exchanges direct messages with WikiLeaks: “Hiya, it’d be great if you guys could comment on/push this story,” WikiLeaks wrote Trump Jr. on Oct. 3. “Already did that earlier today,” Trump Jr. responded. “It’s amazing what [Hillary Clinton] can get away with.”
- Final month of the 2016 race: Trump eagerly campaigns on the WikiLeaks disclosures of Podesta’s emails, mentioning the word “WikiLeaks” some 140 times: “Boy, I love reading those WikiLeaks,” Trump says on Nov. 4.
And here’s the kicker: Despite those contacts, the promised dirt on Hillary Clinton, and the fact that the Obama administration named WikiLeaks as a Russian intelligence front, no one from the Trump campaign or its orbit ever once called the FBI.
In his report on the Russia investigation, special counsel Robert Mueller concluded that the investigation “identified numerous links between the Russian government and the Trump campaign.”
More Mueller: “Although the investigation established that the Russian government perceived it would benefit from a Trump presidency and worked to secure that outcome, and that the campaign expected it would benefit electorally from information stolen and released through Russian efforts, the investigation did not establish that members of the Trump campaign conspired or coordinated with the Russian government in its election interference activities.”
And guess who omitted the lines about how the Trump campaign expected it would benefit from that Russian interference — from his early preview/memo of the Mueller report?
Attorney General Barr.
Tweet of the day
And speaking of Barr and the FBI, Department of Justice Inspector General Michael Horowitz testifies at 10:00 am ET before the Senate Judiciary Committee on his report looking at the origins of the Russia investigation.
And here was Horowitz’s conclusion from his report released earlier this week – with which Barr has disagreed:
“The FBI mishandled parts of its application to monitor a Trump campaign aide as it was probing possible Russian interference in the 2016 election, but the overall investigation was justified, according to a long-awaited report by the Justice Department’s watchdog that rebuts the president’s depiction of a politically biased plot against him,” per NBC’s Ken Dilanian, Pete Williams and Julia Ainsley.
Impeachment inquiry update
Mark it up: At 7:00 pm ET, the House Judiciary Committee will hold a public hearing to mark up the impeachment articles against President Trump, per NBC’s Geoff Bennett.
Members of the committee will deliver opening statements, and then lawmakers will discuss the articles, debate amendments and ultimately vote beginning at 9:00 am ET tomorrow.
*** 2020 Vision: Yang makes the debate stage, Booker likely won’t: Andrew Yang appears to have qualified for the Dec. 19 debate after hitting 4 percent in a national Quinnipiac poll, NBC’s Melissa Holzberg writes.
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Seven Democrats so far have qualified, with the qualification deadline coming tomorrow — Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Tom Steyer and now Yang.
Tulsi Gabbard still needs to hit one more qualifying poll to make the stage, but she tweeted that she won’t participate even if she qualifies.
Cory Booker needs four qualifying polls, and so he’s unlikely to make the Dec. 19 debate.
On the campaign trail today
Joe Biden hits Las Vegas to speak to the Culinary Workers… Pete Buttigieg raises money in New York City… Andrew Yang and Julian Castro stump in Iowa… Deval Patrick is in South Carolina… Amy Klobuchar delivers a foreign-policy address in DC to the Council on Foreign Relations… Michael Bloomberg is in California, where he holds a roundtable discussion on the economy and housing in Stockton, and then has a conversation with former Gov. Jerry Brown.
Dispatches from NBC’s campaign embeds
NBC’s Benjamin Pu reports that Andrew Yang kicked off his Iowa bus tour yesterday – just after qualifying to appear on the next Democratic debate stage. Yang told reporters that his campaign will be unique at the debate because, “We are going to do something unprecedented on the debate stage next week and that is show up as the lone person of color.” While Yang’s Iowa bus tour will be one of his first big expenditures into the state, Yang said he was surprised it was a national poll that got him on the debate stage, “I thought that we were going to make it based upon poll in one of the early states, because we’ve been investing in offices and growing in Iowa and New Hampshire in particular.”
After Democrats released their articles of impeachment against President Trump, NBC’s Marianna Sotomayor reports that Joe Biden campaigning in Nevada yesterday “gave his standard impeachment riff when asked about his opinion over being implicitly named [in those impeachment articles]. ‘Well, look, whether I’m mentioned or not in the articles it is disturbing that the president on at least two occasions and possibly three that didn’t involve me have reached out to a foreign government and tried to effect his political fortunes and it’s just wrong,’ he said.”
Data Download: The number of the day is … $100,407,009
That’s the amount of money Michael Bloomberg has spent on TV/radio and digital advertising since November 25, according to Advertising Analytics. That works out to an average of about $3.7 million per day.
Here’s what each of the Democratic candidates has spent on TV/radio during the campaign (and thus excluding digital):
- Bloomberg: $95.1 million
- Steyer: $50.0 million
- Warren: $8.8 million
- Sanders: $8.5 million
- Buttigieg: $7.6 million
- Biden: $6.7 million
- Yang: $4.6 million
- Klobuchar: $1.8 million
- Gabbard: $1.1 million
- Bennet: $1.1 million
- Delaney: $662k
That’s a combined $145 million-plus for Steyer and Bloomberg over the TV and radio airwaves.
The Lid: I cannot tell a lie
Don’t miss the pod from yesterday, when we looked at some new polling that compares Donald Trump and Barack Obama to some iconic former presidents.
ICYMI: New clips you shouldn’t miss
The Washington Post looks at how yesterday encapsulated “the rising prominence of distorting facts for political gain.”
Trump called the articles of impeachment “flimsy” and “pathetic” at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania.
Democrats are claiming victories on both the trade deal and a paid parental leave bill for federal workers.
Pete Buttigieg has released the list of clients he worked with at McKinsey, including Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan and Best Buy.
Trump Agenda: More takeaways from the Barr interview
Here are the big headlines from Pete Williams’s exclusive interview with AG Bill Barr yesterday.
A federal judge’s ruling is another setback for Trump’s plan to fund the border wall.
New York’s attorney general says that Trump paid $2 million in a court-ordered judgement for misusing his charity.
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan says Turkey could send troops to Libya to counter Russian-backed forces.
There’s some big drama over health care playing out in the Trump administration.
2020: A one-term pledge?
Biden aides are discussing the pros and cons of a one-term pledge, POLITICO writes.
New Kentucky governor Andy Beshear will restore voting rights for 100,000 former felons.
Where will Kamala Harris’s former donors go?
Tom Steyer is making a play for black voters in South Carolina.
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